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2018 Baseball Hall Of Fame Predictions

ballot here: https://www.baseball-reference.com/awards/hof_2...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  11/27/17
why is sosa getting shit on so much compared to bonds and cl...
sealclubber
  11/27/17
They were HOF without roids, he was shit
Big stuff. Deep State.
  11/27/17
i fail to see the logic in this. how was sosa "shit&quo...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  11/27/17
McGwire is pretty borderline too even without the steroids t...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/27/17
tbf chuck finley was also roided to hell
PrestigeWhore
  01/25/18
b/c bonds and clemens were historically good and sosa wasn't
zarathustra
  11/27/17
lol. this is the guess?
sealclubber
  11/27/17
? sosa has fairly pedestrian numbers for a hall of famer al...
zarathustra
  11/27/17
ah, okay. that's a real argument. however, sosa has an mvp,...
sealclubber
  11/27/17
mcgriff is below sosa on every metric if we're ignoring ster...
zarathustra
  11/27/17
Hoff, Vlad, Chipper, Thome, Vizquel
Big stuff. Deep State.
  11/27/17
Can't comprehend why Hoffman and Vlad are getting more votes...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/27/17
hoffman is a fucking joke. Mariano is the only recent reliev...
Judas Jones
  11/27/17
...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/27/17
...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  11/27/17
leans into mic
sealclubber
  11/27/17
...
ggtp
  11/28/17
...
West White
  12/08/17
Schilling should be in.
.....,,.,.,.,..,.,.,,,,,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.
  11/28/17
10000% right
Baron Mark von Ironside
  11/28/17
Thome is a shoe-in
'"'""'"
  11/27/17
cr
zarathustra
  11/27/17
*Shoe-inn
IronMonkey
  01/24/18
lol thome is the surest thing on this ballot
zarathustra
  11/27/17
Chipper
Judas Jones
  11/27/17
think they'll get similar %
zarathustra
  11/27/17
wtf. Was Thome ever one of the best 10 players in beisbol?S...
moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome
  11/28/17
yes he was. had four top 10 mvp finishes, led league in ops ...
zarathustra
  11/28/17
4 bottom of top 10 finishes, so with pitchers, he probably w...
moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome
  11/28/17
he finished fourth in 2003, sixth in 1997 i agree that he...
zarathustra
  11/28/17
LOL. Frank Thomas won TWO MVP's and was the most feared hit...
moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome
  12/08/17
Hoffman was not as good as Billy Wagner This is such a fu...
chandler
  11/27/17
Vizquel is on there? What year is this for him? That dude do...
american space force
  11/27/17
Vizquel is a much better hitter than you remember, and he wa...
wait till biggus dickus hears of this
  11/27/17
he wasn't all that valuable, certainly not by HOF measures. ...
Judas Jones
  11/27/17
I looked at his stats. Dude they're so whatever. 688 OPS. Th...
american space force
  11/27/17
All's I'm saying is retarded writers will say "Omar? Ha...
wait till biggus dickus hears of this
  11/27/17
what year is vizquel in? year one? i don't think i've heard ...
american space force
  11/28/17
He has a ton of golden gloves
chandler
  11/28/17
he has zero chance
moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome
  12/08/17
Sheffield is getting in
transgentry
  11/28/17
No way
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/28/17
He has steroid issues and isn't as good as bonds
chandler
  11/28/17
and was a grouch to the chubby white sportswriter set which ...
ma anand sheela
  11/28/17
E D G A R D G A R
XO The Galleria of LGBT Fuckfests
  11/28/17
Larry Walker deserves to get in but he won't.
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/28/17
he's kind of a fag, and played all those years in Coors. He ...
Judas Jones
  11/28/17
Bonds, Clemens, Guerrero get my vote
ggtp
  11/28/17
jfc I can't believe a HOF spot will be wasted on Trevor fuck...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  12/08/17
edgar not getting in while a shithead rp like hoffman does i...
West White
  12/08/17
LOL at politics and steroids completely fucking up who shoul...
Bart O'Kavanaugh
  12/08/17
What about Manny?
Judas Jones
  12/08/17
Chipper, Thome, and Hoffman get in. Vlad probably sneaks in ...
GOTTA MOVE FAST
  12/08/17
just lol if Hoffman, Rolen and Andruw Jones get in and Mussi...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  12/08/17
No way Andruw Jones gets in, ever... he only finished above ...
Titus Pullo
  01/22/18
...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/22/18
...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  12/11/17
Updated voting: https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/08/18
so bonds and clemens arent getting any traction this year?
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/08/18
seems like it. Edgar and Mussina way up though. I hope...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/08/18
weird if vlad goes from 70 to ~95%. has a non-1st time gu...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/08/18
not sure, but now that you mention it that's an interesting ...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/08/18
still cant find an answer for this. very curious
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/12/18
I'm comparing lists now starting with 90% https://www.bas...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/12/18
tyty. so, vlad will end up in the top 20 of all time. ver...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/12/18
no he's projected at 90%. he won't stay at his public ballot...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/12/18
I've got: Robbie Alomar 90.01% Roberto Clemente 92.69%...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/12/18
>> Meanwhile, Guerrero has a shot at two distinctions....
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/23/18
Rolen should be getting more votes than Omar Vizquel
Judas Jones
  01/08/18
100%
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/08/18
Updated predictions https://twitter.com/sarsdell/status/9...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/09/18
~43% of the ballot is projected to be in https://onedrive...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/11/18
mussina was -7.2% actual vs pre last year. doesnt look like...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/12/18
this guy has him losing 15% on his projection https://twi...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/12/18
Vamos Moose Vamos!
Judas Jones
  01/12/18
...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/12/18
...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/12/18
...
West White
  01/12/18
9 days until the announcement. Edgar sitting at 81% for p...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/15/18
https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=F2E5D8FC5199DFAF!8...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/22/18
Coors Field and Edgar was 180
'""''""'
  01/22/18
but isn;t that factored into OPS+/WAR?
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/22/18
sure if you're a fucking nerd
'""''""'
  01/22/18
the two seem pretty equivalent to me
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/22/18
probably, probably I was a Mariners fan though and Edgar ...
'""''""'
  01/22/18
I'm not suggesting Edgar is out. I think Edgar is in and I h...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/22/18
Larry Walker better go in as a Rockie because DAT FIELD is t...
beckersted, abogado.
  01/22/18
right, but again, that is taken into account by OPS+, WAA, a...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/22/18
I think Edgar’s narrative has grown stronger over time; no ...
N904PD
  01/22/18
IIRC, he was a gold glove RF who racked up a lot of assists ...
Judas Jones
  01/23/18
Why do the voters love Vlad so much? Walker, Rolen, and...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  01/22/18
.318 career BA, MVP, top 4 in MVP voting 4 times also, is...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/22/18
1 day to go. hoffman still way above edgar
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/23/18
edgar lost like 3% in the last couple days. brutal. i think ...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/23/18
he needs to leave
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/23/18
any thought on why Edgar is getting so much more love than W...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/23/18
JFC. FAGGIT VOTERS
'""''""'
  01/23/18
i think Edgar should be in and Hoffman shouldn't sniff the H...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/23/18
announcement at 6pm today With 242 ballots revealed/~57.1...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
Hope Edgar makes it. That dude was so money
DrakeMallard
  01/24/18
so do i. he's worthy and we need to clear some space on the ...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
Pitching the equivalent of 12 starts a season shouldn’t be H...
my dog poasts more Frog and Toad threads than I do
  01/24/18
Billy Wagner is way better than Hoffman
chandler
  01/24/18
Relievers need to be exceptional, not just long careers, to ...
my dog poasts more Frog and Toad threads than I do
  01/24/18
i agree, but what makes no sense to me is the disparity in s...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
Except Wagner was actually way better
chandler
  01/24/18
...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  01/24/18
Here we goooooo
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
where can this be watched w/o fraud mlbtv?
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
Mlb twitter account has a livestream tweet
DrakeMallard
  01/24/18
ty
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
https://www.mlb.com/video/mlbn-simulcast-hof-election/c-1872...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
CHIPPER
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
CHIPPER IN VLAD IN YNY
.,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,
  01/24/18
VLAD
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
THOME
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
THOME!
.,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,
  01/24/18
fuck hoffman. he's in
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
lol what a joke hoffman
.,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,
  01/24/18
...
West White
  01/24/18
edgar is out
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
This is some god damn motherfucking bullshit is what it is
IronMonkey
  01/24/18
does hoffman have the lowest WAR of any recent inductee? He ...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
EDGAR GOT FUCT
.,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,
  01/24/18
...
West White
  01/24/18
edgar at 70.4. 19 votes short
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
edgar must have really lost a lot in the private ballots to ...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
lawyerbird getting his revenge
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
lmao at Vizquel at 37 percent in his first year!
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
he can maek it
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
ugh
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
moose started w 20% his first year
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
I want Vizquel to be OUT, no way is that guy a hall of famer...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
vizquel was an incredible ss but he doesn't belong in the ho...
West White
  01/24/18
mussina looks like he'll make it soon
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
180 i have been trolling for him for years
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
same. my favorite pitcher since I was a kid.
Judas Jones
  01/24/18
180! I really wanted him to hang around to get 300 wins.
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
mine was pettitte but loved moose's style too
West White
  01/24/18
i still dont know how you explain vlad not getting in 1st ba...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
because it's 2018 bigot
Judas Jones
  01/24/18
ballot was backlogged and a lot of people sacrificed him ass...
.,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,
  01/24/18
who were they voting for? how are writers voting for 10 guys...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
A lot of writers are retarded boomer faggots who won't vote ...
state your IQ before I engage you further
  01/24/18
i don't this this is a good answer. chipper was on all but 1...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
or for being a redneck waitress-banging trumpmo
Judas Jones
  01/25/18
Chipper is absolutely in the same league as those guys stati...
Judas Jones
  01/25/18
chipper is ~ top 10 GOAT?
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/25/18
he's not top 10 GOAT, but imo you're looking at voting % the...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
i suppose i am, but there's prestige in being a near unanimo...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/25/18
i agree. i just think saying "chipper is top 10 all tim...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
i bet a bunch of old pre-boomer purists are dying off and th...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/25/18
No, but neither is Griffey or Ripken. Griffey was my favorit...
Judas Jones
  01/25/18
lol, i, of course, hated Griffey as a kid and thought he was...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
(autistic kid with Ti-83 calculating range factor and park a...
Judas Jones
  01/25/18
lol i am nowhere near that much of an autist
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/25/18
...
West White
  01/25/18
Fuck these fraud kike "voters" who wheeze nasally ...
'""''""'
  01/24/18
180
West White
  01/24/18
for when these faggots put that POS Ortiz in w/out hesitation
West White
  01/24/18
...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/24/18
This is absolutely devastating FAGGOT HOF VOTERS, YOUR RE...
'""''""'
  01/25/18
...
DrakeMallard
  01/25/18
guyz what's the lowest 1st year vote % for someone who event...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
Blyleven got 17.5 his first year. 14.1 his second.
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  01/24/18
woah
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
bbbbut no thy young the bbwaa boomer cuck lisped
West White
  01/24/18
everyone who doesnt vote for bonds should have their ballot ...
ggtp
  01/24/18
sup barry
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
Jim Thome getting in with almost 90% of the vote is absurd. ...
moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome
  01/24/18
mfcr. 0 t3 mvp seasons, 1 t5.
West White
  01/24/18
chipper w 97.2% and in the top 10 of all time is also absurd...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/24/18
...
ggtp
  01/24/18
600 hrs, career .956 OPS, could still hit even at 41 and pro...
PrestigeWhore
  01/25/18
xo Chipper Jones; Vlad; Trevor Hoffman
RCP90 (semi-retired)
  01/24/18
Hoffman is one of the worst selections ever
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  01/25/18
...
;.;.;.;;..;.;.;.;.
  01/25/18
agreed, having him in there and bonds / Clemens / mussina / ...
PrestigeWhore
  01/25/18
...
DrakeMallard
  01/25/18
...
'""''""'
  01/25/18
agreed. take a look at this: https://www.baseball-refere...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
Lmao at the guys above him Kevin Seitzer Edgardo Alfonzo
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  01/25/18
I mean, that is insane. To compare, Mariano has I believe...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
Yeah the only one who really compares was Sutter (24.5), als...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  01/25/18
shit you know what i just realized, the WAR leaders list is ...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
Had no idea Mariano was so high. That's insane for a relieve...
'""''""'
  01/25/18
Mariano could honestly get 100% of the votes.
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
playing devil's advocate here and i think closers are overra...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/25/18
sure. i think you could say they are so highly specialized t...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
With a few exceptions (maybe even just one exception: Maria...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  01/25/18
dat nigga babe ruf pitched more innings dan dis nigga hoffma...
West White
  01/25/18
There exist people in the world who voted for Hoffman and di...
'""''""'
  01/25/18
I actually think the better comparison is with Mussina and S...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
I'm just MAF about Edgar getting shafted again
'""''""'
  01/25/18
he'll get in next year
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
No one seems to care that almost all elite closers (includin...
N904PD
  01/25/18
I don't think it's so much that closers (or relievers in gen...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
Jesus, Hoffman had a career WAR of 28. Rivera was double th...
moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome
  01/25/18
I'm not so concerned about 1st ballot. Thome has 72 WAR and ...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
Hoffman was third ballot. Crazy story is vlad going from 72 ...
N904PD
  01/25/18
yeah DBG and I discussed Vlad's jump above.
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
How is the argument against Hoffman that Rivera was much bet...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/25/18
Well billy Wagner gets almost no votes and is clearly as goo...
chandler
  01/25/18
That's a better argument.
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/25/18
well, it's not just that Rivera was much better, it's that R...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
I guess my point is you should compare Hoffman to other clos...
Naomi Bat Osaka
  01/25/18
well isn't that the point of comparing him to Rivera? Riv...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
It’s a variation on the “small hall” vs. “big hall” debate. ...
N904PD
  01/25/18
oh, see i feel like i'm almost arguing that Rivera IS big ha...
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18
a First Ballot HOFer should be in the small hall. hoffma...
West White
  01/25/18
cr
Baron Mark von Ironside
  01/25/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:01 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

ballot here: https://www.baseball-reference.com/awards/hof_2018.shtml

i assume hoffman and vlad eke in, and chipper maeks it on the 1st ballot

just those 3. edgar and thome dont get in.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34784954)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:08 PM
Author: sealclubber

why is sosa getting shit on so much compared to bonds and clemens?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785034)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:30 PM
Author: Big stuff. Deep State.

They were HOF without roids, he was shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785289)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:32 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

i fail to see the logic in this. how was sosa "shit"? he's closer to bonds and mac than an average steriod era guy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786259)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:58 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

McGwire is pretty borderline too even without the steroids thing.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WAR_career.shtml

Babe Ruth is #1 on this list.

Bonds is #4.

Clemens is #8.

McGwire is #161.

Sosa is #201, tied with Chuck Finley who got voted off on the first ballot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786421)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:24 AM
Author: PrestigeWhore (0xe5b500f0f5C09Ed723941758fC22eC8e00c9804C)

tbf chuck finley was also roided to hell

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233219)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:31 PM
Author: zarathustra

b/c bonds and clemens were historically good and sosa wasn't

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785291)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:34 PM
Author: sealclubber

lol. this is the guess?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786277)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:49 PM
Author: zarathustra

?

sosa has fairly pedestrian numbers for a hall of famer all things considered. at 58.4 career war he’s tied with chuck finley for 201st all-time and behind guys like mark buehrle and tim hudson. he's obviously very deserving of consideration but being conservative clemens is one of the top 20 players ever and bonds is top 5.

the effect of steroids on hof candidacy doesn’t have to be all-or-none and i don’t think it will be. it'll just act as a very significant negative on a resume. lesser candidates like palmeiro and sosa and mcgwire will see or have seen their candidacy lapse instead of getting in on like the 3rd or 4th or 6th ballot or something, for bonds and clemens it will drop them from unanimous first-ballot status to getting in somewhere between years 8-10. down the line the other steroid guys might get in through the veterans committee or something but as with bonds and clemens the effect of steroids on their resumes will be that they’re treated and voted in as though they were much lesser candidates than they actually were wrt their numbers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786378)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:23 PM
Author: sealclubber

ah, okay. that's a real argument.

however, sosa has an mvp, 3 seasons above 60 hrs, he was one of the most popular players of his era, and he has over 600 career home runs.

steroids should be none or none, imo

while i agree sosa is more like mcgwire than bonds, that still doesn't explain all of the players between sosa and bonds, such as mcgriff

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786589)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:30 PM
Author: zarathustra

mcgriff is below sosa on every metric if we're ignoring steroids

if not, mcgriff just wasn't particularly stand-out for his generation. again if you look at WAR and JAWS and shit for mcgriff he's solidly among the group of very good but not hof first basemen.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786647)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:30 PM
Author: Big stuff. Deep State.

Hoff, Vlad, Chipper, Thome, Vizquel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785283)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:04 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Can't comprehend why Hoffman and Vlad are getting more votes than Mussina and Schilling on any rational basis.

I think this may be the year when one of Bonds/Clemens gets in actually. People seem to care less and less about punishing them - both were over 50% last year.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785516)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:15 PM
Author: Judas Jones

hoffman is a fucking joke. Mariano is the only recent reliever i would consider putting in the hall. the fact is these dudes are failed starters who add relatively little value and could be replaced in a heartbeat by almost any decent starter.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785571)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:28 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786231)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:29 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786239)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:35 PM
Author: sealclubber

leans into mic

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786289)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 11:04 AM
Author: ggtp (ggtp)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788779)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:28 PM
Author: West White



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870515)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:20 AM
Author: .....,,.,.,.,..,.,.,,,,,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.


Schilling should be in.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34787013)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 6:15 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

10000% right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34792523)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:29 PM
Author: '"'""'"


Thome is a shoe-in

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785672)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:30 PM
Author: zarathustra

cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785680)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:57 PM
Author: IronMonkey

*Shoe-inn

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229155)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:31 PM
Author: zarathustra

lol thome is the surest thing on this ballot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785684)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:43 PM
Author: Judas Jones

Chipper

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785777)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:45 PM
Author: zarathustra

think they'll get similar %

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785799)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:43 AM
Author: moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome

wtf. Was Thome ever one of the best 10 players in beisbol?Seems like its just a participation award if he gets in on the first ballot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34787138)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:53 AM
Author: zarathustra

yes he was. had four top 10 mvp finishes, led league in ops once and finished in top five of ops seven times

loses some value for playing first base and gets overlooked a bit b/c he was a power hitter in an era full of power hitters but his full body of work is as good as pretty much any of them. compare his numbers to frank thomas'.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34787206)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 1:13 PM
Author: moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome

4 bottom of top 10 finishes, so with pitchers, he probably wasn't one of the top 10 players in the MLB's in any of his seasons. Only one Silver Slugger, and a terrible fielder and baserunner to boot. Basically just a pretty good hitter who played for a long time in an offensive juggernaut era.

And how the fuk is this guy not suspected of roiding? All of his best years were during the peak era.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34789656)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 6:06 PM
Author: zarathustra

he finished fourth in 2003, sixth in 1997

i agree that he wasn't *the* dominant power hitter of his time but that's not the standard for the hof. compare his stats to frank thomas, eddie murray, willie mccovey, rafael palmeiro (who'd be in the hof without the steroid shit). 9th highest career WAR all-time among first basemen too. he's not a "slam dunk" in the sense that someone like griffey was but by the hall's standards he's right there.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34792470)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:20 PM
Author: moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome

LOL. Frank Thomas won TWO MVP's and was the most feared hitter in beisbol for 5+ years. Eddie didn't win any MVP's but had a similar 5 year stretch. Just because their power numbers are similar is meaningless.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870455)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:08 PM
Author: chandler (chandler)

Hoffman was not as good as Billy Wagner

This is such a fucking joke

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786471)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:38 PM
Author: american space force (sellcuck)

Vizquel is on there? What year is this for him? That dude doesn't pass the smell test. Vizquel as a HOFer sounds ridiculous.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786710)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:42 PM
Author: wait till biggus dickus hears of this

Vizquel is a much better hitter than you remember, and he was one of the best and most exciting defenders in the 90s. I think he'll show very well bc he wasn't a roided out freak

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786743)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:50 PM
Author: Judas Jones

he wasn't all that valuable, certainly not by HOF measures. But he was remarkable to watch in the infield.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786807)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:54 PM
Author: american space force (sellcuck)

I looked at his stats. Dude they're so whatever. 688 OPS. That sucks. Some steals I guess. 688 OPS is garbage and this is HOF talk. I guess my point is because of shot like that he doesn't pass the smell test. His defense was great. Not enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786838)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:59 PM
Author: wait till biggus dickus hears of this

All's I'm saying is retarded writers will say "Omar? Ha, all glove no bat!" Then they'll be drinking at the bar and someone will say "actually he was a career .280 hitter with 2,800+ hits" and this voter will say "huh, yeah and he was doing it THE RIGHT WAY without steroids!!" And vote for him in part as a protest against the Sosas on the ballot. Prob not enough to get him to 75% but I think he'll vastly outperform.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786886)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:04 AM
Author: american space force (sellcuck)

what year is vizquel in? year one? i don't think i've heard his name in hof conversations before.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786928)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:45 AM
Author: chandler (chandler)

He has a ton of golden gloves

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788662)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:21 PM
Author: moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome

he has zero chance

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870470)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:12 AM
Author: transgentry

Sheffield is getting in

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786960)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:46 AM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

No way

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788667)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:47 AM
Author: chandler (chandler)

He has steroid issues and isn't as good as bonds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788671)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:50 AM
Author: ma anand sheela

and was a grouch to the chubby white sportswriter set which is a death sentence for HOF

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788684)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:52 AM
Author: XO The Galleria of LGBT Fuckfests

E D G A R

D

G

A

R

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788694)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:56 AM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Larry Walker deserves to get in but he won't.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788730)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:59 AM
Author: Judas Jones

he's kind of a fag, and played all those years in Coors. He really was an excellent all-around player though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788751)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 11:03 AM
Author: ggtp (ggtp)

Bonds, Clemens, Guerrero get my vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788773)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:09 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

jfc I can't believe a HOF spot will be wasted on Trevor fucking Hoffman.

Hoffman, Vlad and Chipper all get in

Edgar, Mussina and Thome get close. Mussina and Thome def get in eventually imo. Edgar only has 1 more year on the ballot after this year so who knows. Part of me wants him out as ammo for keeping Big Sloppy out.

Very interested to see Schilling's vote total given his politics. if it doesn't track Mussina's, then you know guys are voting based on political motivations.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870378)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:26 PM
Author: West White

edgar not getting in while a shithead rp like hoffman does is some bullshit http://www.sportingnews.com/mlb/news/edgar-martinez-hall-of-fame-vote-ballot-stats-seattle-mariners-greatest-dh-designated-hitters/1dwopulzkbw2d14uikwv9k69ld

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870511)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:31 PM
Author: Bart O'Kavanaugh

LOL at politics and steroids completely fucking up who should be in the hall.

Sosa, Sheffield, Schilling, Mussina, Bonds, Clemens, Thome and Andruw are no brainers.

Isringhaus, Matsui and Rolen should also be in.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870537)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:45 PM
Author: Judas Jones

What about Manny?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870646)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:44 PM
Author: GOTTA MOVE FAST (his name is my name)

Chipper, Thome, and Hoffman get in. Vlad probably sneaks in too. PED suspects continue to get no breakfast. Rolen and Andruw Jones get in sometime in next three years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870638)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:50 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

just lol if Hoffman, Rolen and Andruw Jones get in and Mussina and Schilling do not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870687)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:58 PM
Author: Titus Pullo

No way Andruw Jones gets in, ever... he only finished above 8th in the MVP voting once and his last good year was at 29.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211427)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:59 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211435)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2017 2:40 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34891365)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 5:46 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

Updated voting:

https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=F2E5D8FC5199DFAF!8063&ithint=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!AAAsz3uDsmqy_Vw

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111645)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 5:51 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

so bonds and clemens arent getting any traction this year?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111680)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 5:52 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

seems like it.

Edgar and Mussina way up though.

I hope to god Hoffman never gets in, but it's inevitable.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111692)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 5:55 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

weird if vlad goes from 70 to ~95%.

has a non-1st time guy ever got 90+%?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111707)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 6:00 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

not sure, but now that you mention it that's an interesting jump. probably some group of writers who didn't vote him in solely cause it was his first year.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111744)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:27 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

still cant find an answer for this. very curious

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141755)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:32 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

I'm comparing lists now starting with 90%

https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/First_Ballot_Hall_of_Famer

https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/Hall_of_Fame_Voting_Percentages

Robbie Alomar got 90.01% and was not a first ballot guy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141783)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:37 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

tyty.

so, vlad will end up in the top 20 of all time. very odd

looks like alomar got the benefit of perhaps a weak class

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141811)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:46 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

no he's projected at 90%. he won't stay at his public ballot number

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141889)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:35 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

I've got:

Robbie Alomar 90.01%

Roberto Clemente 92.69%

That's the list

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141800)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2018 3:53 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

>> Meanwhile, Guerrero has a shot at two distinctions. He could surpass Roberto Alomar's 90.0% (from 2011) for the highest share received by a second-year candidate, and he could become just the second post-1966 candidate to gain more than 20 points in a single cycle while crossing the 75% threshold, after Barry Larkin (from 62.1% in 2011 to 86.4% in ’12). In theory, Martinez could join that company if he receives at least 78.6%, but his odds of doing so appear exceedingly slim. <<

https://www.si.com/mlb/2018/01/23/hall-fame-chipper-jones-jim-thome-vladimir-guerrero-trevor-hoffman

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35219284)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 6:01 PM
Author: Judas Jones

Rolen should be getting more votes than Omar Vizquel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111754)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 6:06 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

100%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111798)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2018 2:51 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

Updated predictions

https://twitter.com/sarsdell/status/950530355731329029

Looking like a 4-person class, potentially 5.

If Moose ends over 60% he'll get in eventually.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35118193)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 11th, 2018 11:57 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

~43% of the ballot is projected to be in

https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=F2E5D8FC5199DFAF!8063&ithint=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!AAAsz3uDsmqy_Vw

looking like it may be a 5-person class

Mike Mussina at almost 74%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35137474)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:22 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

mussina was -7.2% actual vs pre last year. doesnt look like he's getting in if you follow that trend.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141721)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:23 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

this guy has him losing 15% on his projection

https://twitter.com/Rosscarey/status/951891157851803648

in any event i wasn't counting moose as one of the 5.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141727)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:23 PM
Author: Judas Jones

Vamos Moose Vamos!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141731)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:28 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141763)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:32 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141784)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:44 PM
Author: West White



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141871)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 15th, 2018 1:48 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

9 days until the announcement.

Edgar sitting at 81% for public ballots. He needs a hair over 70% on the remaining ballots to get elected. Last year his support on private ballots was -12.1%, so if that trend holds he'd be *just* out.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35160931)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:30 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=F2E5D8FC5199DFAF!8063&ithint=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!AAAsz3uDsmqy_Vw

Moose isn't gonna maek it :(

Edgar and Hoffman are like coin flips, but i hope both get off the ballot this year to make space.

anyone want to weigh win on why voters prefer Edgar to Larry Walker?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211182)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:31 PM
Author: '""''""'


Coors Field and Edgar was 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211193)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:31 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

but isn;t that factored into OPS+/WAR?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211198)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:32 PM
Author: '""''""'


sure if you're a fucking nerd

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211209)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:35 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

the two seem pretty equivalent to me

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211243)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:36 PM
Author: '""''""'


probably, probably

I was a Mariners fan though and Edgar was 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211256)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:38 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

I'm not suggesting Edgar is out. I think Edgar is in and I hope he gets in this year.

I just think it's hard to keep Walker out if you vote in Edgar.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211279)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:41 PM
Author: beckersted, abogado.

Larry Walker better go in as a Rockie because DAT FIELD is the real MVP, not him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211294)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:42 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

right, but again, that is taken into account by OPS+, WAA, and WAR, and they are neck and neck by those metrics

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211309)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 3:57 PM
Author: N904PD

I think Edgar’s narrative has grown stronger over time; no dhs in the hall, he’s “clean”, etc.

In addition to the coors problem, Walker has a pretty significant war boost from fielding/running, which is always a tough case to make unless you were recognized as a star in those areas at the time

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211416)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2018 3:48 PM
Author: Judas Jones

IIRC, he was a gold glove RF who racked up a lot of assists but his defensive WAR isn't actually very good

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35219238)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 4:13 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Why do the voters love Vlad so much?

Walker, Rolen, and even Andruw Jones and Sheffield have higher WAR.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211562)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2018 4:15 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

.318 career BA, MVP, top 4 in MVP voting 4 times

also, isn't there a lack of 3B in the hall?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35211585)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2018 3:19 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

1 day to go. hoffman still way above edgar

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35219026)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2018 3:27 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

edgar lost like 3% in the last couple days. brutal. i think that means he'll likely be out, which is too bad bc we need to clear as much space as possible.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35219090)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2018 3:41 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

he needs to leave

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35219195)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2018 3:43 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

any thought on why Edgar is getting so much more love than Walker?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35219213)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2018 3:54 PM
Author: '""''""'


JFC. FAGGIT VOTERS

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35219292)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2018 3:55 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

i think Edgar should be in and Hoffman shouldn't sniff the HOF, but at this point I just want both to get it to clear ballot space.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35219303)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 3:18 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

announcement at 6pm today

With 242 ballots revealed/~57.1% of the vote known:

Chipper - 98%

Vlad - 95%

Thome - 93%

Hoffman - 78.9%

Edgar - 77.3%

-----

Mussina - 70.7%

BB/RC - 65%

Schilling - 60%

Walker - 38%

Vizquel - 33%

Manny - 23%

McGriff - 19%

Rolen - 12%

Andruw - 5.8%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35227507)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 3:26 PM
Author: DrakeMallard (Daring Duck of Mystery, Champion of Right)

Hope Edgar makes it. That dude was so money

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35227557)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 3:27 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

so do i. he's worthy and we need to clear some space on the ballot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35227563)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 3:28 PM
Author: my dog poasts more Frog and Toad threads than I do (and being, like, really smart)

Pitching the equivalent of 12 starts a season shouldn’t be Hall-worthy. HTH!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35227569)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 3:33 PM
Author: chandler

Billy Wagner is way better than Hoffman

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35227620)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 3:35 PM
Author: my dog poasts more Frog and Toad threads than I do (and being, like, really smart)

Relievers need to be exceptional, not just long careers, to be worth consideration. Kent Tekulve has a better case for inclusion than those who just racked up cheap saves.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35227645)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 3:37 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

i agree, but what makes no sense to me is the disparity in support between Hoffman and Wagner. They were essentially the same player.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35227660)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:19 PM
Author: chandler

Except Wagner was actually way better

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228838)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:09 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230822)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 5:58 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

Here we goooooo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228695)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:12 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

where can this be watched w/o fraud mlbtv?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228780)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:12 PM
Author: DrakeMallard (Daring Duck of Mystery, Champion of Right)

Mlb twitter account has a livestream tweet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228784)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:18 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228819)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:13 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

https://www.mlb.com/video/mlbn-simulcast-hof-election/c-1872820383?tid=7417714

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228789)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:18 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

CHIPPER

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228820)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:18 PM
Author: .,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,

CHIPPER IN

VLAD IN

YNY

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228822)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:18 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

VLAD

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228825)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:19 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

THOME

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228833)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:19 PM
Author: .,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,

THOME!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228834)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:19 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

fuck hoffman. he's in

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228843)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:20 PM
Author: .,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,

lol what a joke hoffman

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228848)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:40 PM
Author: West White (+)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229018)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:20 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

edgar is out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228850)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:59 PM
Author: IronMonkey

This is some god damn motherfucking bullshit is what it is

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229169)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:20 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

does hoffman have the lowest WAR of any recent inductee? He has like 28 WAR

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228852)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:20 PM
Author: .,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,

EDGAR GOT FUCT

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228853)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:39 PM
Author: West White (+)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229015)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:21 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

edgar at 70.4. 19 votes short

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228859)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:24 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

edgar must have really lost a lot in the private ballots to lose 7%+ in only 40% private ballots

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228884)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:27 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

lawyerbird getting his revenge

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228916)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:22 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

lmao at Vizquel at 37 percent in his first year!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228871)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:23 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

he can maek it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228874)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:24 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

ugh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228892)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 8:10 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

moose started w 20% his first year

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229771)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 9:41 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

I want Vizquel to be OUT, no way is that guy a hall of famer. You're telling me he'd go in and guys like Rolen, Kent, Walker would be out?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230552)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:00 PM
Author: West White (+)

vizquel was an incredible ss but he doesn't belong in the hof. rolen, compared to the avg hof 3B, totally belongs. walker is a borderline guy who probably got a bigger numbers boost playing in coors than any ped bro did from his enhancer of choice.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230745)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:24 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

mussina looks like he'll make it soon

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228895)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:25 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

180 i have been trolling for him for years

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228903)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:27 PM
Author: Judas Jones

same. my favorite pitcher since I was a kid.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228914)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:31 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

180!

I really wanted him to hang around to get 300 wins.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228953)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:54 PM
Author: West White (+)

mine was pettitte but loved moose's style too

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229136)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:27 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

i still dont know how you explain vlad not getting in 1st ballot but getting 92% this time

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228919)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:28 PM
Author: Judas Jones

because it's 2018 bigot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228927)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:36 PM
Author: .,,..,,,,,..,.,.,.,,

ballot was backlogged and a lot of people sacrificed him assuming he'd get in

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35228992)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 7:10 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

who were they voting for? how are writers voting for 10 guys last year and one of them is not vlad? on this list how do you have vlad 11th AND think 10 guys are HOF worthy

https://www.baseball-reference.com/awards/hof_2017.shtml

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229248)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 8:37 PM
Author: state your IQ before I engage you further

A lot of writers are retarded boomer faggots who won't vote for first ballot candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230014)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 8:39 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

i don't this this is a good answer. chipper was on all but 12 ballots (410/422) and he's no griffey or cal ripken jr. only a few boomer fags will ding a guy just for being 1st ballot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230040)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:29 AM
Author: Judas Jones

or for being a redneck waitress-banging trumpmo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233254)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:34 AM
Author: Judas Jones

Chipper is absolutely in the same league as those guys statistically

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233286)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:21 AM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

chipper is ~ top 10 GOAT?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234008)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:25 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

he's not top 10 GOAT, but imo you're looking at voting % the wrong way.

you can't evaluate completely different sets of voters and then treat single-digit differences in ballot % as though they are super meaningful.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234032)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:33 AM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

i suppose i am, but there's prestige in being a near unanimous selection or putting up a very high number.

and i think we can look at the voting % to learn something about the voters themselves. chipper being on all but 12 ballots, and a guy like wade boggs getting in at around 90%? either it's experimental error, or voters are less strict now.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234095)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:37 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

i agree. i just think saying "chipper is top 10 all time in voting percentage" isn't the right way to look at it.

more like, how could 10% of writers NOT vote for Wade Boggs?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234122)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:40 AM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

i bet a bunch of old pre-boomer purists are dying off and the shitboomer writers are more liberal with their votes than the previous generation of voters.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234168)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:58 PM
Author: Judas Jones

No, but neither is Griffey or Ripken. Griffey was my favorite player, and like half of other 90s kid's favorite player, but he wasn't actually as great as he looked. He just did everything with so much flair and excitement.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235425)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:06 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

lol, i, of course, hated Griffey as a kid and thought he was overrated bc of the flair and excitement

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235500)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:09 PM
Author: Judas Jones

(autistic kid with Ti-83 calculating range factor and park adjusted OPS)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235520)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:10 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

lol i am nowhere near that much of an autist

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235534)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:14 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235568)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:16 PM
Author: West White (+)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235595)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:47 PM
Author: '""''""'


Fuck these fraud kike "voters" who wheeze nasally about "positional value." Would happily nut stomp one of these faggots if I saw them walking down the street and I'd be surprised if other people didn't join in.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229067)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 6:54 PM
Author: West White (+)

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229140)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 7:57 PM
Author: West White (+)
Subject: for when these faggots put that POS Ortiz in w/out hesitation

Career fWAR: Edgar - 65.5, Ortiz - 46.1

Career bWAR: Edgar - 68.3, Ortiz - 50.4

Career wRC+: Edgar - 147, Ortiz - 138

Career OPS+: Edgar - 147, Ortiz - 141

% of games at DH: Edgar - 70.3, Ortiz - 87.2

Times reaching base: Edgar - 3,979, Ortiz - 4038

Career PA: Edgar - 8674, Ortiz - 10091

Career OBP: Edgar - .418, Ortiz - .378

Years with .400+ OPB: Edgar - 11, Ortiz - 3

Years with .450+ OBP: Edgar - 3, Ortiz - 0

Batting titles: Edgar - 2, Ortiz - 0

7 yr Peak WAR: Edgar - 43.6, Ortiz - 35

PED taint: Edgar - 0, Ortiz - ljl

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229645)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 8:26 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229916)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:22 AM
Author: '""''""'


This is absolutely devastating

FAGGOT HOF VOTERS, YOUR RESPONSE??

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233209)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:32 AM
Author: DrakeMallard (Daring Duck of Mystery, Champion of Right)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233277)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 8:11 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

guyz what's the lowest 1st year vote % for someone who eventually maed it? moose got 20% his first year. would that be the lowest ever if he maeks it?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229776)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 9:34 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Blyleven got 17.5 his first year. 14.1 his second.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230501)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:01 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

woah

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230761)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:04 PM
Author: West White (+)

bbbbut no thy young the bbwaa boomer cuck lisped

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230780)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 8:13 PM
Author: ggtp (ggtp)

everyone who doesnt vote for bonds should have their ballot privilege withdrawn

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229796)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 8:14 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

sup barry

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229810)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 8:33 PM
Author: moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome

Jim Thome getting in with almost 90% of the vote is absurd.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35229985)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:09 PM
Author: West White (+)

mfcr. 0 t3 mvp seasons, 1 t5.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230818)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:13 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

chipper w 97.2% and in the top 10 of all time is also absurd to me. i think we're seeing FEWER shitboomers voting against guys bc they're 1st ballot guys, so it's hard to compare results across time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230864)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:14 PM
Author: ggtp (ggtp)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230874)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:27 AM
Author: PrestigeWhore (0xe5b500f0f5C09Ed723941758fC22eC8e00c9804C)

600 hrs, career .956 OPS, could still hit even at 41 and probably could have played another three years if he wanted to.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233246)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 9:38 PM
Author: RCP90 (semi-retired)

xo Chipper Jones; Vlad; Trevor Hoffman

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35230527)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:27 AM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Hoffman is one of the worst selections ever

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233242)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:27 AM
Author: ;.;.;.;;..;.;.;.;.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233249)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:28 AM
Author: PrestigeWhore (0xe5b500f0f5C09Ed723941758fC22eC8e00c9804C)

agreed, having him in there and bonds / Clemens / mussina / edgar out is absurd.

Relievers are the big thing now so he's benefitting from that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233251)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:32 AM
Author: DrakeMallard (Daring Duck of Mystery, Champion of Right)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233273)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 9:38 AM
Author: '""''""'




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233313)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 10:07 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

agreed.

take a look at this: https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WAR_career.shtml

Hoffman has the 2nd lowest career WAR (28.4) of any player elected EVER, BY ANY METHOD. #227/228. And the guys at # 226 and 228 both played pre-war and were elected via the Veteran's committee.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233501)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 10:22 AM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Lmao at the guys above him

Kevin Seitzer

Edgardo Alfonzo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233606)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 10:25 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

I mean, that is insane.

To compare, Mariano has I believe 56 WAR, which is a little low for the HOF but well within the ballpark.

Even Goose Gossage has 40+ WAR.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233616)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 10:41 AM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Yeah the only one who really compares was Sutter (24.5), also a terrible selection, although even he at least had 3 years better than Hoffman's best year.

It's funny to look at Eckersley who everyone remembers as a closer - almost 3/4 of his career WAR came from his years as a starter.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233707)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 10:59 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

shit you know what i just realized, the WAR leaders list is only the top 1000 players, so sutter isn't on it. now i'm not sure where hoffman is exactly, though he is likely still in the bottom 10.

Sutter is brutal. 10 WAA? that is laughably bad.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233850)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 10:42 AM
Author: '""''""'


Had no idea Mariano was so high. That's insane for a reliever.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233718)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:06 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

Mariano could honestly get 100% of the votes.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35233906)



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Date: January 25th, 2018 11:24 AM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

playing devil's advocate here and i think closers are overrated... but is there any legit argument that WAR isn't a fair stat by which to measure a closer?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234027)



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Date: January 25th, 2018 11:27 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

sure. i think you could say they are so highly specialized that they lack the ability to accrue additional WAR.

but even at that < 30 is really low. some stat head can probably come up with a way to "normalize" WAR for closers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234045)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:11 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

With a few exceptions (maybe even just one exception: Mariano Rivera), relievers are just failed starting pitchers. If they were better, they'd be starters and pitch more innings and accumulate more WAR.

So being "fair" to them would be like being "fair" to platoon players or pinch hitters that also have a specialized role, but really they don't play as much because they're not as good as everyday players.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234991)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:53 PM
Author: West White (+)

dat nigga babe ruf pitched more innings dan dis nigga hoffman

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235374)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:31 AM
Author: '""''""'


There exist people in the world who voted for Hoffman and did not vote for Edgar. Let that sink in.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234081)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:34 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

I actually think the better comparison is with Mussina and Schilling.

How on Earth can someone vote for Hoffman but not Mussina/Schilling?

Hell, I'd vote for Santana over Hoffman. He was possibly the best pitcher in baseball over a 5-year period, and injuries robbed him of a surefire HOF career.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234100)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:35 AM
Author: '""''""'


I'm just MAF about Edgar getting shafted again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234108)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:37 AM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

he'll get in next year

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234140)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 11:53 AM
Author: N904PD

No one seems to care that almost all elite closers (including Rivera) failed as starters. And closers make so much cash now, there’s really not that much incentive for a guy who’s struggling with starting to stick with it if he has stuff to be a good reliever (look at chapman who seemed to half ass his starting career).

Next year will be interesting. Rivera should sail in. Next big name is Hallady, who might get that post mortem bump (and had a better/more prominent peak that Mussina). Helton has decent numbers but between coors and his career basically ending at 33 will probably not get much traction. Pettites a borderline guy; wonder how the voters will weigh the HGH stuff against the championships.

Edgar, Mussina, Rivera seems like likely scenario.

Looking even further ahead, there’s Jeter in 2020 and no shooins in 2021 so will be interesting to see how things shake out. Also incredibly depressing to see David Wright listed on the 2022 hypo ballot at b-ref

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234275)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 12:11 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

I don't think it's so much that closers (or relievers in general) maybe failed as starters, because i think each has a purpose, but a reliever has to give you value.

Rivera clearly gave the Yankees a TON of value, and his advanced stats confirm that.

Hoffman, not so much.

I think Mussina has to wait another year. Next year is probably Edgar and Rivera, with 2020 featuring Jeter, Mussina, and Halladay.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234428)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 12:59 PM
Author: moving target rodeo clown in dindu thunderdome

Jesus, Hoffman had a career WAR of 28. Rivera was double that.

Hoffman and Thome getting in first ballot is insane.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234887)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

I'm not so concerned about 1st ballot. Thome has 72 WAR and an OPS+ of 147. Combine that with 600+ home runs and being a truly standout human being, and he was getting in no matter what.

I'd really love to pick the brains of writers on the Hoffman selection though. In particular, I'd love to ask them to make his case without mentioning his number of saves.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234909)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:08 PM
Author: N904PD

Hoffman was third ballot. Crazy story is vlad going from 72 percent on first ballot to 93 on second ballot. Hoffman went 67, 74, 80 in comparison.

Thome also has a career obp of 402 which is pretty elite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234967)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:09 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

yeah DBG and I discussed Vlad's jump above.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234976)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:10 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

How is the argument against Hoffman that Rivera was much better? I don't think Hoffman should get in but why compare him to the goat closer?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35234984)



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Date: January 25th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: chandler

Well billy Wagner gets almost no votes and is clearly as good as Hoffman

2.3 era compared to 2.9 era and Hoffman is in a pitcher friendly ballpark most of his career

Same WAR too

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235004)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:16 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

That's a better argument.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235021)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:16 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

well, it's not just that Rivera was much better, it's that Rivera's advanced stats compare favorably with other HOF players. Hoffman's do not.

Rivera also has an ungodly amount of post-season success. You may say that Hoffman didn't get that same chance, but, well, here we are.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235025)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 1:25 PM
Author: Naomi Bat Osaka (*)

I guess my point is you should compare Hoffman to other closers who are on the cusp, not to Rivera. Either closers are all TTT and not allowed into the hall except on special occasion or you get the best few of each era into the hall.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235102)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:16 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

well isn't that the point of comparing him to Rivera?

Rivera is by far the greatest reliever ever, and by advanced stats he's a below average hall of famer.

so art of the analysis is that, if you accept relievers into the HOF, you have to understand that, by advances stats, they will almost always be among the least qualified of all players so enshrined.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235597)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:26 PM
Author: N904PD

It’s a variation on the “small hall” vs. “big hall” debate. Rivera would be in a small hall but Hoffman wouldn’t. You can argue that Hoffman should be in a big hall, but it’s going to be a similar argument to a lot of guys like Wagner, Lee Smith, Quissenberry, etc. who have not gotten that close.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235725)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:27 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

oh, see i feel like i'm almost arguing that Rivera IS big hall, and that most relievers shouldn't sniff cooperstown

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235738)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:33 PM
Author: West White (+)

a First Ballot HOFer should be in the small hall.

hoffman's peak 7yr WAR is in the 19s. a legitimate First Ballot inductee has 50%+ that in one season. awful

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235789)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2018 2:34 PM
Author: Baron Mark von Ironside

cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35235801)